The entire House and a third of the Senate are elected on November 3, 2026. See today's composition from official sources, what is at stake in each state and which data is still missing. No forecasts.
Selected source publications and datasets in our coverage. A newly added source reference does not mean a new election event occurred. This is not a complete news feed or a live service.
Showing all covered states and national source references.
35 seats up (confirmed) · 51 = majority (the vice president breaks 50–50 ties)
D 45R 53
Current composition (By party) · Checked October 15, 2026
By party
D
R
I
By party
45
53
2
33 × regular Class II · term to 2033-01
1 × special OH · term to 2029-01
1 × special FL · term to 2029-01
Which caucus the independents join is not recorded from a source here. Party division is not the same as control.
Florida was confirmed on October 15 from an official notice. Seats up for election are separate from the party composition above. Senate candidates and results are not imported. Human review of the new explanations is pending. Official notice (PDF) ↗
Results tracking: House of Representatives
No results source is connected. No results from the 435 House races are imported here. This does not say whether election authorities have published results.
Source connection: 0 of 435 House races. Senate results are not included in this tracker. User scenarios and the current member roster are not used as election results.
The button retrieves Valg.info’s import status. It does not fetch election-authority pages. Automatic refresh and a results feed are not enabled. Retrieval failures or invalid data are never replaced with zero tallies.
Human editorial review of the new status explanation is pending.
Explore states and districts
Districts and holders from the Clerk roster. Candidate coverage is shown per state.
Correction, October 15, 2026Maryland candidates could incorrectly appear under other states. They now appear only under Maryland. The reviewed candidate records are unchanged.
Districts are those in the current membership roster. Changed 2026 election boundaries are not mapped here; a current holder is not automatically a 2026 candidate in the same area.
2026 Senate races
35 listed races: 33 regular elections and special elections in Ohio and Florida. Candidate lists and results are not imported.
FEC calendar data as of May 18, 2026. Senate classes from GPO October 9, 2026. This is a dated source snapshot. Later changes and possible new special elections require election-authority checks. It is not an up-to-date ballot list or voting-deadline guide.
View all 35 listed races
Election type by state – not candidates or results
FEC marks states with Senate elections. The GPO membership list only cross-checks seat classes; it is not a candidate list or evidence that an incumbent is running. No names or party composition are imported from it.
Federal Election Commission ↗Retrieved 2026-10-15T17:30:04.440591+00:00SHA-256 9a5d4ec0ba2b69daf2f510ef79bca0ca381ab699255ac5adb971b9672d517251
U.S. Government Publishing Office ↗Retrieved 2026-10-15T17:29:22.391134+00:00SHA-256 949d0440d0785054b8a6f2bbbc6843dfe8d78bf4b900dc4b4b938ca397aafb1a
Human editorial review of the new explanations is pending.
National congressional polls
Selected published surveys, not a complete or live feed. Age is measured from the end of fieldwork.
Age and analysis calculated as of 2026-10-15 (America/New_York). This is not a new source check.
Pew Research Center · October 8, 2026
District-candidate preference, nationally
Registered voters mostly saw their district candidates’ names. Figures include respondents leaning toward a candidate. Generic choices were used in some areas and cases.
Registered voters · not an election result
Response
Share
D – Democratic candidate
44 %
R – Republican candidate
36 %
Another candidate, including leaners
5 %
Not sure
15 %
No answer (source symbol)
*
Rounded percentages. “*” is preserved from the source and is not set to zero. This is a national summary, not a poll of each district, a forecast or a seat estimate.
Fieldwork
September 28, 2026 – October 4, 2026
Registered voters
n=3,917 (full survey n=5,062)
Registered-voter sampling error
±1.8 percentage points, 95% confidence level
Fieldwork age
11 days since fieldwork ended
Retrieved
Shown separately: Question wording, named candidates and response categories differ from the generic polls below. These figures are not pooled with them.
Sources and method
Topline, PDF page 8 ↗Retrieved 2026-10-15T17:15:30.803167+00:00SHA-256 1033a1e13318f637003d7e7ab4930406505d1db6cdf2b36b39958e53b4681565
Report: sampling error, PDF page 31 ↗Retrieved 2026-10-15T17:16:10.822760+00:00SHA-256 fddc3405cdc676d51d12c01f19bbc9b863577263d44231917e288b84666b6b6a
Analysis and candidate exceptions ↗Retrieved 2026-10-15T17:15:34.034458+00:00SHA-256 19adfc78689458f8ff07da4c80206fccd8603d167ad78e35c28a0078bf3592a4
The sampling error applies to shares among registered voters, not the D–R difference. Turnout and other survey errors are not covered by this one margin.
“With Americans in a Sour Mood, Democratic Voters Are More Engaged in Midterms.” Pew Research Center, Washington, D.C. (October 8, 2026). Pew Research Center
Only polls with the same population, response set and contest are combined. With one pollster per population the "average" is just that poll.
Registered votersD 53.0 % · R 41.0 % · 1 pollster45-day window · latest wave per pollsterdescriptive-average-1 · not calibrated, not a forecast
Likely votersD 53.0 % · R 42.0 % · 1 pollster45-day window · latest wave per pollsterdescriptive-average-1 · not calibrated, not a forecast
Publication dates: Marist September 23 (page), Emerson September 24 (page publication metadata). Retrieved/checked October 13. Undecided shares are not imported; D/R shares are not normalized to 100 percent. This is a limited dated selection, not all polls. Automated recheck returned HTTP 403. Figures were checked with an AI-assisted source reader on October 13. This source version is covered by the page approval of October 13, 2026. Method: conducted September 21–22, 2026, n=1,000 likely voters, credibility interval ±3 (not a sampling margin of error).
What if the polls are wrong?
Compare selected 2020 and 2024 presidential polls with official vote counts. Historical errors do not calibrate the 2026 midterms.
Enter your own races and assumptions. The output is a conditional calculation, not a forecast or a probability. A majority is never shown without a complete set of 435 races.
Your own numbersEnter your own baseline margins. Official historical margins and compatible district boundaries are not imported yet. Your inputs are your own assumptions.
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Race
Baseline margin (D minus R, points)
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Result of your assumptions
Add races and your own assumptions to calculate scenarios.
Two official historical tables, with visible source differences. Human review of the new explanations is pending.
Explainer and history
What is a midterm?
Midterms fall halfway through the president's four-year term. The president is not on the ballot; Congress is.
Who sets the rules?
States administer the election: registration, hours, early voting, ballots, counting and certification, so the rules differ by state.
Calls are not results
Media organizations "call" races from their own analysis. Official reported counts can be preliminary. Certified results follow state certification. Media calls stay separate from both.
Historical results
The FEC publishes a historical compilation of official federal results after states certify them. It is not a live feed. Historical party allocations from official House tables are available in a separate source view. Selected presidential polls and results are in the separate historical polling lab.
Dates
Federal general election dayU.S. midterms
Confirmed hours use the election’s timezone. Date entries without hours do not confirm opening times.
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