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U.S. · 2026 midterms

Texas: 2026 Senate election

Explore the sourced race and imported state poll together. A poll is not a forecast, a complete candidate list or an election result.

Race in this source version

Listed election day
November 3, 2026
Election type
Regular election · Class II
Candidate directory
Not imported
Reported or certified results
Not imported — missing figures are not zero votes

FEC calendar data as of May 18, 2026. GPO class directory published October 9, 2026. A dated source snapshot, not a guarantee of today’s complete ballot or local voting deadlines. The date alone does not create results.

Imported poll for this race

Marist Poll · Texas · October 14, 2026

Senate poll: registered voters in Texas

Reported support for the response options in Marist’s Senate question. This is a state poll, not a verified candidate directory, an election result or a forecast.

Texas · registered voters · rounded percentages
Response optionShare
James Talarico (D)48 %
Ken Paxton (R)44 %
Another party’s candidate2 %
Undecided4 %
No response2 %
Fieldwork
October 8, 2026 – October 11, 2026
Registered voters
n=1,196
Reported sampling error
±4.3 percentage points
Fieldwork age
8 days since fieldwork ended
Retrieved

Kept separate from national averages and Marist’s likely-voter figures. Sampling error applies to a share, not automatically the difference between two candidates or a win probability. No seat allocation is calculated from this poll.

Sources and method

Question SNVT26R. The registered-voter total on PDF page 39 is checked against the October row on page 40 and the sample/methodology on page 1. Likely voters, expectations of who will win and subgroups are separate tables and are not imported here. A confidence level is not stated in the imported methodology excerpt.

  • Marist release ↗Retrieved SHA-256 41956a04940301b51740cb94ab0842df72a919ecade65f8326111b02cd3fcd0f
  • Original tables, PDF ↗Retrieved SHA-256 46f941715f3636c71dd6cf364f68719552fb8f227024deb12c9514e20aca9d58
  • Terms of use ↗Retrieved SHA-256 9986979b707e663e2a75c456f2fcdad221bc2bd7380eab7dfbca068df5976847

Marist Poll. 2026 Midterm Elections in Texas, October 2026. October 14, 2026. Tables, pages 1, 39–40.

© 2026 Marist Poll / Marist University. Attributed numeric subset; no Marist endorsement.

Dated source snapshot, not a live polling service. Retrieval time is not fieldwork time.

Reviewed by Lars Føleide. Approval received . Covers this Texas poll’s data and method explanations in both languages. Other content and later source versions are not covered.

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